Hi! This week, I decided to do things differently than the traditional column in which I just list the games and my picks along with mj50's picks. Today, I've decided on introducing the column's first ever mj15 blog NFL POWER RANKINGS! A power ranking, in case you haven't heard, is where someone rates all of the teams in the league from 1-32 based on (among others) win-loss record and the play of the team. I just figured that since there are over 1,000,000 power rankings on the Internet right now, I might as well add on to the list.
So, here we go. From the bottom barrel of the league to the game's elite teams, here are my power rankings of the NFL through week 8 of this 2010 season. Enjoy.
THE BOTTOM FIVE
32. Buffalo (0-6)
They're the only winless team left, so of course I'm going to rank them as the worst team in the league. They do however have one thing going for them, and that is Ryan Fitzpatrick. In the four games since replacing Trent Edwards as the starting, the Harvard grad Fitzpatrick has thrown for 244 yards per game, 11 TDs (including 4 in last week's loss to Baltimore) and a 102 passer rating (second in the league behind, who else, Peyton Manning). He's improving as each week of the season moves along, is pretty good outside of the pocket, and even his beard that he's growing is pretty cool in a Civil War veteran kind of way. He might not lead the Bills to a terrific second half comeback, but he should at least be able to help the Bills avoid going 0-16 this season.
31. San Fransisco (1-6)
Note to self: in the future, never pick a team with Alex Smith as a QB to win the division, especially if they can't capitalize over a win against Oakland win a win against the 1-5 Panthers.
30. Carolina (1-5)
They're quarterback situation is awful, their supposedly great running back tandem of Williams and Stewart have performed one of their worst season yet, and they can't stop the run. Thank God for their passing defense and their win at least against the 49ers, or else I would probably rank them as the worst team in the league.
29. Detroit (1-5)
Consider the Lions as the class of the NFL's bottom four at this point. Four of their five losses have been decided with less than eight points, so they could have very well been 5-1 or 4-2 this season had some things gone their way. They're also getting Matthew Stafford back this week (at least until he suffers another shoulder injury), so that helps. Now if Jim Schwartz can fix that damn defense of theirs (which I have heard is his specialty), and the team should be well equipped in the future.
28. Denver (2-5)
The bad news: they just lost a game 59-14...at home... to the Oakland Raiders. They're also last in the league in rushing with an appalling 68 yards per game, have a pathetic defense, and have only lost 13 of their last 17 games in the Josh McDaniels era. The good news: At least Kyle Orton is looking better than Jay Cutler (even though Cutler has a better chance of making the playoffs first at this point than the Broncos)! Other than that, there is much too feel good about them. But hey, at least they couldn't possibly look worse than last Sunday...right?
THE UNDERACHIEVERS & THE BROWNS
27. Cincinnati (2-4)
Remember when most people thought that the Bengals were going to be a good team this year coming off a playoff appearance and the addition of T.O.? Yeah...that hasn't worked so far. Their defense has been really underachieving, Cedric Benson is having finally underachieving after a great season and a half four them, and Carson Palmer has playing poorly when the team hasn't been in garbage time this year. Looks like '09 might have been a one year fluke.
26. Dallas (1-5)
Look at it this way: they were already bad with Tony Romo as their QB. Now imagine how bad they should be with him out for at least the next eight weeks and with Jon Kitna at QB. At least Cowboys fans can rejoice at one thing: Jerry Jones is now much closer to firing Wade Phillips for another coach. Sure that coach will, like Phillips, will be just another yes-man to Jerry Jones, but at least it won't be him.
25. Cleveland (2-5)
Well, that win over the Saints came out of nowhere! However, we can't let that win get away from the facts: they're ranked in the bottom half in nearly every major offensive and defensive category in the league, and Colt McCoy has yet to show something impressive in his first few games as a starter. So while that win last week against the defending champs were impressive, I'm still not getting carried away because of that.
24. San Diego (2-5)
Their the most underachieving team in the league at this point. They have had a very winable schedule & one of the best offenses in the league, yet thanks to special teams failures, costly turnovers and critical mistake, they have only won two out of their first seven games. Even they're rushing game which was supposed to be rejuvenated by the great Ryan Matthews and the loss of the "old" LaDainian Tomlinson that looked pathetic. At this point, it's only a matter of time before Norv Turner gets fired midseason.
THE REMAINING UNDER .500 TEAMS
23. Jacksonville (3-4)
All four of their losses this season has been by an average of 25 points whereas all three of their wins have been by an average of about 6 points. Consider their 3-4 record to be one of the most deceiving in all of the league.
22. Oakland (3-4)
This team has been inconsistent as hell this season. One week, they surprise you with a game like last week's 59-14 win over the Broncos or the Chargers game earlier this season where they had nine points coming off special teams and Jason Campbell plays like one of the best QBs in the league. Then there are those other weeks where they play like the same Raiders team that we have seen for the past few years like in week 1 against the Titans or in week 6 against the 49ers. Ranking them in the upper twenties is about the right spot for them at the moment.
21. Arizona (3-4)
This team is the perfect example of how important a QB is in this league. Under Kurt Warner as the starter in '08 and '09, the team has averaged about 10 wins and 350 total yards per game (including about 270 yards per game passing). Now, in the first season with Warner out and the combo of Derek Anderson and Max Hall as the starters, the team is on average on pace for about 7 wins this season. Why? Well, under Warner in '08 and '09 the team averaged about 350 yards per game, including an average of 270 yards passing. Under Derek Anderson and Max Hall? A league worst 237 yards per game (passing yards per game with 146.2). I think I have a good feeling as to what position this team will draft with its first pick.
20. Minnesota (2-4)
Brett Favre's crotch isn't the only body part of his that has been getting attention in the last few weeks. Now, it's his fractured ankle that is the problem. I hate to say it, Vikings fans, but this is what you get when you sign a pact with the devil.
19. St. Louis (3-4)
It's hard to believe it, but for the first time in many years the Rams look like a potential playoff team. Three of their four losses have been decided by less than four points (meaning they're the opposite of the Jaguars), they're in the NFC West and the team has most of the right tools to make it. The key going forward, of course, will be the play of Sam Bradford. If this offensive rookie of the year front runner can continue to improve and play as efficiently and mistake-free as he has been for the past few games (0 turnovers in last two games), then that could very well help the Rams defeat the Seahawks for the division crowd. Speaking of the playoffs, can you believe that Stephen Jackson, one of the best running backs in the past five years, has yet to play a playoff game? That can not continue!
THE MIDDLE OF THE PACK
18. Miami (3-3)
I can't put them any higher until they actually win some game at home. I just can't.
17. Green Bay (4-3)
The victory over the Vikings was nice, but their still seriously banged-up and the offense still looks out of sync at times. Aaron Rodgers is having a tough time adjusting to the loss against JerMichael Finley.
16. Chicago (4-3)
They get the bump over Green Bay because of their win against them a few weeks back. Otherwise, there's not much to like about them. Still, I do consider this to be a win-win season no matter the outcome because if they will either end up in the playoffs or not end up in the playoffs and most likely fire Lovie Smith.
THE "THEY COULD MAKE IT TO THE PLAYOFFS, BUT I DON'T SEE THEM DOING BETTER THAN THAT" TEAMS
15. Tampa Bay (4-2)
I like coach Raheem Morris's guts in saying that they are the best team in the league. Unfortunately, I'm not buying into them at this point. All four of their wins have come against teams that I ranked 19th or below (St. Louis, Cleveland, Cincinnati and Carolina) and three of those wins were decided by three points or less. Meanwhile, against great teams like New Orleans and Pittsburgh, they have been blown out by 25 points in each of them. They also can't stop the rush and have averaged only 16.3 points per game (ranked 30th in the league). I think that it's not a question of if they will have some major losing streak later on in the season, but when.
14. Seattle (4-2)
I gotta say, I've been very impressed with Pete Carroll's team so far. In a year where the NFC West has been nothing short of wide-open, the Seahawks have taken the early lead going 2-1 against division opponent and a pretty good defense (ranked 5th in points allowed). Now, with Marshawn Lynch, they should also have an improved running game. Still, I can't trust any team from the NFC West to be nothing more than a team that will go the playoffs, but lose in wild card weekend. I just can't.
13. Kansas City (4-2)
I agree that they are a good team. But a great team? Not buying it. They're passing game is pathetic (ranked 30th in the league), and they have yet to beat a team that is under .500 on the season. Besides, they have Todd Haley as their head coach. I just can't believe that this team led by him can successfully help this team go deep into the playoffs.
THE LURKERS
12. Philadelphia (4-3)
You have to like a team that can win four games with two different quarterbacks playing for them, a top ten offense, and a top ten defense.
11. Washington (4-3)
10. New Orleans (4-3)
I really can't put my finger on what is wrong with the defendin champs. Is it the loss of Reggie Bush and Pierre Thomas? Is Drew Brees having an off year? Is it just the Super Bowl hangover? Has it been the unwillingness by Sean Payton to use the same explosive plays that he had last week? Whatever it is, I'm still pretty confident that the team can bounce back in the next few weeks.
THE AFC SOUTH PART OF THE RANKINGS
9. Houston (4-2)
Well, it has finally happened: the Texans have lived up to their sleeper team predictions from the past few years, mostly thanks to their offense led by Matt Schaub and their 4th ranked rushing offense. Their one Achilles heel this season has been their passing defense, ranked dead last in the league, which has been so bad it allowed Matt Cassel to throw for 200 yards and 3 TDs. They're like the '08 Cardinals in a way.
8. Tennessee (5-2)
One of the most balanced teams in the league and one of the league's best road teams (3-0 thus far in the season). They also have Chris Johnson, and Vince Young is on, he is ON.
7. Indianapolis (4-2)
It should be interesting to see how the Dallas Clark injury will impact this team for the rest of the season. They are now without the team leader in catches for the past two seasons, and Peyton Manning's go to guy on third downs. However, we have seen Manning time and time again do a successful job replacing wide receivers in the past (after all, would any other quarterback have Austin Collie average 11.3 yards per attempt, or replace Anthony Gonzalez as great as he did last season with Pierre Garcon?), and it could very well happen again with Brody Elbridge. Also, with three teams at two losses, I think we can clearly consider the AFC South as the new best division in the league at the moment.
THE GREAT (a.k.a The Best Teams in the underachieving NFC)
6. Atlanta (5-2)
5. New York Giants (5-2)
I decided on this order based on the following question: if both of these teams were to meet right now in the NFC Championship Game (and they would since they're the only NFC teams with less than three losses), who would win? I chose New York for one big reason: defense, which I've been told wins championships. Through week 7, the team's defense has been ranked in the top three in almost every major defensive category. They're #2 in total yards allowed, #2 in rushing yards allowed (so Atlanta's #2 ranked rushing game should have a bunch of problems) and they're #3 in passing yards allowed. Also, Osi Umenyiora is looking very healthy and rejuvenated, Ahmad Bradshaw is playing like the league's best running back and even the passing game is looking impressive. In other words, this Giants is reminding me a lot of the team who won SBXLII a few years back in more ways than none.
THE ELITE (a.k.a. The Best Teams in the stacked AFC)4. Baltimore (5-2)
A lot of people will look into their near-loss to Buffalo last week as a sign that this team might not be one of the best in the league. But that judgment is completely unfair. Baltimore's wins on the road in Pittsburgh and in the Meadowlands against the Jets have been two of the most impressive wins I have seen from any team this season. Plus, they came an overtime field goal away from possibly winning or tying New England, too. The passing offense is as good as it ever has been with Anquan Boldin at the team's best #1 WR in franchise history. Their rushing game is a bit off from last year, but with Ray Rice as their #1 RB you should always believe that they can bounce back at anytime. And then there's that defense, still one of the best in football after all these years.
3. New England (5-1)
They get the bump over New England because of their victory over them a few weeks back. They also remind me of their three Super Bowl winning teams in that they can always find some way to win, and as long as Brady plays as good as he has been the last few weeks, they should continue to be good down the road.
2. New York Jets (5-1)
They have had five consecutive wins since their week one loss to Baltimore by an average of 12 points, and they're doing it the old-school way: with a stellar defense and a great rushing game led of course by LaDainian Tomlinson who is having his best season in years.
1. Pittsburgh (5-1)
Don't let that near-loss to Miami last week fool you; Pittsburgh is still the class of the league and the NFL's most complete team: a great QB, a stellar rushing games, a good variety of wide receivers, and a awesome defense. They're so good, that I bet if you have the Steelers play all New York, New England and Baltimore again this year (which they will, I might add), that they can beat all of them. If I were to bet on which team will hold the Lombradi trophy in Dallas this February, it would be Pittsburgh right now.
Now, onto the shortened edition of the week 8 picks. First, last week's totals:
mj15- 7-7
mj50- 6-8
As you can see I am still struggling to get out of the .500 range. Let's hope week 8 can change all that. Here are the picks (as always, the game time are based on the Central time zone):
Denver Broncos vs. San Fransisco 49ers (-2)
(from Wembley Stadium in London, England): Sunday- 12:00 p.m.
mj15's pick: Denver (also my Lock of the Week)
mj50's pick: Denver
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Dallas Cowboys (-6.5): Sunday- 12:00 p.m.
mj15's pick: Dallas
mj50's pick: Dallas
Washington Redskins vs. Detroit Lions (-2.5): Sunday- 12:00 p.m.
mj15's pick: Washington
mj50's pick: Washington
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Jets (-6): Sunday- 12:00 p.m.
mj15's pick: New York
mj50's pick: New York
Carolina Panthers vs. St. Louis Rams (-3): Sunday- 12:00 p.m.
mj15's pick: St. Louis
mj50's pick: St. Louis
Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5): Sunday- 12:00 p.m.
mj15's pick: Kansas City
mj50's pick: Kansas City
Tennessee Titans vs. San Diego Chargers (-3.5): Sunday- 3:05 p.m.
mj15's pick: Tennessee (also my Upset of the Week)
mj50's pick: Tennessee
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Arizona Cardinals (-3): Sunday- 3:15 p.m.
mj15's pick: Tampa Bay
mj50's pick: Tampa Bay
Seattle Seahawks vs. Oakland Raiders (-2.5): Sunday- 3:15 p.m.
mj15's pick: Oakland
mj50's pick: Oakland
Minnesota Vikings vs. New England Patriots (-5.5): Sunday- 3:15 p.m.
mj15's pick: New England
mj50's pick: New England
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints (-1): Sunday- 7:20 p.m.
mj15's pick: Pittsburgh
mj50's pick: New Orleans
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts (-5.5): Monday- 7:30 p.m.
mj15's pick: Indianapolis (also my "I'm Not Sure" pick)
mj50's pick: Indianapolis
Yes, you read those picks right. mj50 and myself have the same picks in every game excrpt for the Pittsburgh/ New Orleans matchup. We'll try our best to imporve on that next week. And with that in minds, that's going to do it for this week. Be sure to come back next week for my week 8 results as well as my week 9 picks. Enjoy the games, everybody!
Sincerely,
Your pal: mj15
If you have any opinions on today's post, or if you just have any suggestions or tips for my next blog entry, e-mail me at: mj1599@aol.com. Your e-mails are greatly appreciated.